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Causal Geometry Detail

This demo is about how a causal research system avoids pretending that a collection of local claims is already a settled global causal model. Each paper, endpoint, population, and mechanism gives a partial view; the framework asks where those views agree, where they fail to glue, and what latent structure might explain the obstruction.

Infinitesimal Causality supplies the geometric lens: local intervention effects behave like directions, and non-closing directions expose missing variables, incompatible mechanisms, or under-specified causal scope. Democritus is the current recipe for turning literature into those typed local causal sections.

Infinitesimal Causality Diagnostic

From observed causal variation to a latent obstruction that should remain qualified.

BRIDGE/SKFM diagnostic showing observed variables, Lie bracket residuals, contraction after adjustment, and a recovered latent obstruction.
A high-level IC diagnostic: observed variables can carry the shadow of a hidden cause; bracket residuals measure the failure of visible causal directions to close; the recovered obstruction tells the foundry what must remain qualified instead of promoted.
Local causal viewsArticles and study claims become scoped sections, not universal facts.
Compatibility testRestriction maps compare claims across shared populations, endpoints, mechanisms, and evidence types.
Tangent obstructionNon-closing intervention directions mark hidden structure or missing causal qualifiers.
Recipe layerDemocritus computes the current causal PSR cells; the IC/foundry structure remains stable as recipes change.
Packaged artifacts

TICKET Transformer

TICKET(democritus_prometheus_run) - Topos Integration using Causal Kan Extension Transformers

Expression: TICKET(democritus_prometheus_run) -> compose(scientific_challenge, evidence_argument, causal_structure) -> glue(extraction_drift_audit)

FSQL: FROM prometheus_runs SLICE BY family("democritus") TICKET BY target_foundry

Admission policy: preserve drift, off-topic extraction, weak causal joins, and unsupported claims as obstructions

Infinitesimal Causality: GLP-1 Run

Democritus is the current computational recipe: it extracts scoped causal PSR cells, preserves uncertainty, and exposes obstructions without turning hypotheses into settled interventional proof.

5articles
3roles
6promoted
5qualified
0review gates

Admission

democritus_minimum_viable_run_admitted_with_scope_qualification: Add synthesis_auditor and scylla_writer after typing dose/duration on causal edges.

Role Outputs

RoleStatusPromotedQualifiedOpen Questions
source_scoutpass10Should broader real-world evidence be admitted in a later run or kept separate?
claim_extractorpass50Should maintenance and cardiovascular outcome claims be separated into different foundry cells?
causal_mapperqualified05Should causal edges encode dose and duration as first-class typed fields?

Audit Gates

GateStatusRationaleCorrections
source_quality_gatepassThe fixed source manifest preserves study metadata and limitations.none
claim_grounding_gatepassPromoted and qualified claims preserve article ids or article anchors.none
causal_scope_gatequalifiedCausal edges preserve population and limitations, but dose/duration should become typed fields before full promotion.promote dose and duration into first-class causal edge fields
handoff_compatibility_gatepassExecuted handoffs preserve required upstream artifacts.none